Monkey Throw Dart: A Deeper Look into the "2.0"

Monday, December 14, 2009

A Deeper Look into the "2.0"

The CMI is still in sleep mode while the CMI 2.0 has been calling for a QLD trade since Thursday or Friday.

Any reference to CMI 2.0 is for educational purposes only and is not intended to be used for buying or selling any individual stock or fund.

Wow, I'm getting good at pulling these disclaimers out of my butt.

I will continue to post buy/sell signals from the CMI in the left sidebar and will hold off posting any signals from the new CMI 2.0 until final testing is complete which should be just before the new year. Of course, if the 2.0 flashes the buy signal I will most likely post it in the blog.

For those who want to get a better look at the individual CMI 2.0 trades over the last 5 years, here you go. It would be nice if I could reduce the losing trades but the market can be quite unpredictable sometimes so I'd rather be 'in the trade' even if it means taking a loss. You gotta play to win as they say.

Notice that the biggest 'beat down' occurred between October 08 and Jan 09. I guess even the 2.0 couldn't withstand the huge market volatility during that period. Actually, the 12.2% loss for the October 30th, 2008 trade may actually have been a false signal. If this proves true, the loss would actual have been a 12% gain. More checking is needed here and I'll keep it 'as is' for now.


new